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Middle East Attacks Increase Uncertainty Over Oil Flow

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“Balance of Power” focuses on the intersection of politics and global business. On today’s show, Mark Esper, former US Defense Secretary, says the US controls the Strait of Hormuz, but Iran can still influence how much traffic moves through it by threatening ships, insurers and crews. Mattie Duppler, Founder and President of Forward Strategies and spokesperson for The Ledger Project, says a rate hike is more likely than not after the latest CPI report came in modestly higher than expected. Rep. Suzan DelBene (D-WA), DCCC Chair, says Republicans are in “triage mode” and moving resources to defend seats they already hold.

Chapters:

00:01:58 Bloomberg’s Jeff Mason on Trump Barnstorms GOP States Ahead of Midterms
00:04:31 Mark Esper, former US Defense Secretary, on Ukraine, Russia and US Support
00:08:08 Mark Esper on Strait of Hormuz Security and Iranian Threats
00:09:21 Mark Esper on Saudi Arabia, Houthis and Growing Regional Tensions
00:13:07 Mark Esper Weighs In on Proposed Livestreamed Execution
00:14:58 Power Moves: Top Financial Moves
00:17:58 Mattie Duppler, Founder and President of Forward Strategies and Spokesperson for The Ledger Project, on Inflation, Interest Rates and the Midterm Economy
00:24:59 Bloomberg’s Amanda Albright on Kansas Senate Race Moves to Toss-Up
00:29:46 Rep. Suzan DelBene (D-WA), DCCC Chair, on Democrats Expand the House Battleground Map
00:33:52 Rep. Suzan DelBene (D-WA) on Data Centers Emerge as a Campaign Issue
00:35:38 Nvidia CEO on AI Safety and Development
00:37:58 Political Panel Reacts: Texas Senate Race in a Dead Heat, Trump’s Russian Diesel Deal Faces GOP Pushback, Ukraine, Starlink and US National Security

——–
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Big Take: How Much Is the Hormuz Blockade Costing the US?

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On today’s Big Take podcast, we discuss the mounting price tag of the US naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz and the opportunity costs of a protracted conflict.
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Griffin Commits $3 Billion to Carnegie Mellon in Record Donation

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Ken Griffin is donating $3 billion to Carnegie Mellon University, including funding for a new Miami campus, in the largest single gift ever to a US university and the latest expansion of his influence in South Florida. Janet Lorin reports.
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Alphabet Opens Fresh Euro Bond Sales; Trump Weighs Iran Diplomacy; Countdown to Midterms

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US equity futures rise as oil falls amid a report that President Trump wants to give diplomacy with Iran more time before potentially resuming strikes. Alphabet kicks off its second euro bond offering of the year. Democratic Representative Haley Stevens draws backlash from her party after endorsing Republican candidate Mike Rogers over Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed. Anna Rosenberg of Amundi Investment Institute joins “Bloomberg Brief” to look ahead to the midterms. Mark McCormick of BMO Capital Markets discusses the market risks surrounding the results.

Chapters:
00:00:00 – Bloomberg Brief
00:04:19 – Oil Slides as Trump Signals Iran Diplomacy
00:07:31 – Alphabet’s AI Spending and Bond Sale
00:09:24 – Anthropic, OpenAI and AI Funding
00:10:39 – Treasury Debt Plans and Top Stories
00:13:07 – US Midterms and Michigan Senate Race
00:14:53 – Anna Rosenberg, of Amundi Investment Institute, on Midterms and Iran
00:21:29 – Markets, Alphabet and Apple Earnings
00:23:41 – Mark McCormick, of BMO Capital Markets, on the Dollar, Oil and Global Markets
00:31:27 – OpenAI Expands UAE Energy Ties
00:33:02 – Michigan Senate Race and US Midterms
00:37:10 – Alphabet, Apple and the AI Trade
00:42:13 – Week Ahead
——–
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What’s Really Going on in Bond Markets?: 3-Minutes MLIV

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Anna Edwards, Guy Johnson, Tom Mackenzie and Paul Dobson break down today’s key themes for analysts and investors on “Bloomberg: The Opening Trade.”
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Alaska’s Senate Race Is Still Too Close to Call

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It could be at least two weeks until a winner is declared in Alaska’s Senate race. Democrat Mary Peltola and Republican Dan Sullivan are separated by about 600 votes. Bloomberg’s Anna Edgerton reports from Anchorage.
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