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Stocks Caught in Tug of War | Bloomberg: The Close 07/25/2024

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Bloomberg Television brings you the latest news and analysis leading up to the final minutes and seconds before and after the closing bell on Wall Street. Today’s guests are Diane Swonk, KPMG, Bailey Lipschultz, Bloomberg News, Tim Nollen, Macquarie, Ralph Schlosstein, Evercore, Nadia Lovell, UBS Global Wealth, Abigail Doolittle, Bloomberg News, Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group, Colin Kaepernick, Lumi CEO & Founder, Kailey Leinz, Bloomberg News, Yelena Shulyatyeva, BNP Paribas.
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US Producer Price Index Rises Most in Three Months on Energy Costs

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The US producer price index for August rose 0.4% from the prior month and 5.4% from a year earlier. Initial jobless claims fell by 1,000 to 206,000 for the week ending September 5. Bloomberg’s Michael McKee reports.
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US Inflation Print on Deck, Bond Selloff Intensifies

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US stocks and Treasuries caught some respite as oil prices eased, with traders waiting for the August US inflation report for the clearest signal yet on whether the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates next week.

After surging yields and a rally in crude set the S&P 500 on course for its worst week since June, futures for the index rebounded 0.4%. Europe’s Stoxx 600 gained 0.2%. Brent dropped toward $105 a barrel, while still on track for a nearly 10% jump since Monday. Treasury yields fell, led by the short end.

The Opening Trade has everything you need to know as markets open across Europe. With analysis you won’t find anywhere else, we break down the biggest stories of the day and speak to top guests who have skin in the game. Hosted by Anna Edwards, Guy Johnson and Tom Mackenzie.

Chapters:
00:00:00 – The Opening Trade
00:00:25 – Market Check
00:01:46 – Bond Selloff Accelerates
00:06:10 – Energy Prices Surge
00:08:47 – OpenAI Mulls AI Slowdown
00:11:26 – US Marks 9/11
00:14:37 – Houthis Advance Near Al-Mandeb Strait
00:27:06 – ECB’s Hawkish Hike
00:38:22 – UAE Foreign Trade Minister
00:47:51 – Stocks to Watch: Tech, Insurers, Novo Nordisk
00:53:50 – Applied Nutrition Stock
01:04:14 – OpenAI Said to Slow Down AI Development
01:08:57 – Fed Rate-Hike Odds
01:11:25 – Trump at the Irish Open
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Oracle Earnings Beat as Cloud Revenue Surges

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The Close brings you the latest news and analysis leading up to the final minutes and seconds before and after the closing bell on Wall Street. Today’s guests are Duke University Professor of Finance Cam Harvey, Morningstar Senior Equity Analyst David Swartz, Philip Morris International Group CEO Jacek Olczak, Citi Wealth Head of Portfolio Advisory Jeanne Sun, RBC Capital Markets Software Equity Research Managing Director Rishi Jaluria, Janus Henderson Global Head, Client Portfolio Management Seth Meyer, SMAC Entertainment CEO & Co-Founder Constance Schwartz-Morini, DraftKings CEO Jason Robins, & Fanatics Betting & Gaming CEO Matt King.

Chapters:
00:00:00 Bloomberg The Close
00:03:42 Duke’s Cam Harvey on Rates, Inflation & Economic Growth
00:07:19 AI Investment, U.S. Growth & the $40 Trillion Debt Load
00:10:24 AI Capex, Data Centers & the Risks of Overinvestment
00:14:01 Oil Tops $107 as Middle East Supply Risks Intensify
00:17:21 Top Calls
00:19:05 Macy’s Turnaround, Consumer Pressure & Department Stores
00:22:38 Philip Morris CEO on the U.S. & Smokeless Products
00:26:00 Nicotine Pouches, Regulation & Philip Morris’ Smoke-Free Strategy
00:29:19 Philip Morris on Capital Allocation & Dividends
00:31:03 Oracle & Adobe Earnings Preview
00:35:18 Markets, Rising Rates & Closing Bell Countdown
00:38:20 Citi Wealth on Economic Resilience & Consumer Strength
00:41:11 AI Investing, Data Center Pushback & Energy Costs
00:43:05 Oracle, AI Spending
00:46:31 Market Selloff, Sector Moves & Defensive Positioning
00:50:34 Adobe Earnings & the Generative AI Challenge
00:55:09 Oracle Earnings Beat as Cloud Revenue Surges
00:58:20 Oracle’s AI Growth, Funding & Long-Term Risks
01:02:13 Financing the AI Boom & Oracle’s Debt Load
01:05:27 Data Center Demand & the Changing Credit Market
01:09:08 SMAC CEO on Athletes Becoming Business Empires
01:12:10 Sports Media, AI & the Growth of Women’s Sports
01:16:16 DraftKings CEO on Sports Betting & Prediction Markets
01:19:04 DraftKings on Regulation, Growth & Investor Concerns
01:22:08 Fanatics on Sports Betting & Market Share
01:24:24 Fanatics on Regulation, Prediction Markets & Responsible Gaming
01:28:30 What to Watch
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Core CPI Hikes Ahead of FOMC Meeting

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A key gauge of US consumer prices rose by more than expected last month, bolstering the case for Federal Reserve officials to raise interest rates next week. Bloomberg Intelligence US Interest Rate Strategist Ira Jersey and Bloomberg News Marco Strategist Frank Monkam discuss how the oil market is moving and what it all means for the Fed ahead of its September meeting next week. Then, Kalshi Chief Risk Officer Udesh Jha talks about the prediction market platform launch of Gold & Silver perpetual trading. Plus, the 2026 NFL season kicked off this week. Bloomberg News Senior Reporter and Co-Host of the ‘Business of Sports’ Podcast Randall Williams previews the season. All on the latest episode of “Bloomberg Businessweek Daily.”

Chapters
00:00:00 Bloomberg Businessweek Daily
00:04:49 Markets: Stocks Rise as Oil Falls
00:06:22 Inflation, Rates & the Fed’s Next Move
00:09:04 Why Markets Expect a Fed Rate Hike
00:11:53 Oil, Gas Prices & Inflation Risks
00:14:00 Consumer Sentiment & the U.S. Economy
00:16:09 Strait of Hormuz & the Oil Market
00:20:41 Kalshi Expands Into Perpetual Futures
00:23:59 Bringing Gold, Silver & Stock Trading to More Investors
00:27:08 Regulated Perpetuals vs. Offshore Markets
00:32:20 Saudi Pipeline Attack & Oil Prices
00:35:19 NFL Goes Global With More International Games
00:38:54 NFL Revenue, Streaming & Private Equity
00:43:07 Market Update: Stocks, Rates & Oil
00:44:20 Stock Movers: Oracle, Microsoft & Adobe
00:47:46 What Comes Next for the AI Trade?
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Must Think Of Wealth Transfers Differently: Zentner

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Ellen Zentner, chief economic strategist and global head of thematic and macro investing at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, joins Scarlet Fu on “Bloomberg Money.” They discuss how wealth managers must adjust to people living longer.
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