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German Election: Friedrich Merz Seals Victory, Moves to Form Coalition

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Germany’s conservative opposition leader Friedrich Merz said he’ll move quickly to form a new government after he won Sunday’s federal election with a result that will require him to form a coalition. Merz’s CDU/CSU bloc won 28.6% of the votes, followed by 20.8% for the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD), according to the provisional vote count by the Federal Returning Officer. Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s Social Democrats (SPD) finished third with 16.4%, the party’s worst result since World War II. Bloomberg’s Chad Thomas reports from Berlin.
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The Takeaways From Meta’s Earnings and AI Spending Plans

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Ygal Arounian, Wedbush Internet equity research managing director, reacts to Meta Platforms’ third-quarter earnings and boosted capital spending outlook. He speaks on “Bloomberg The Close.”
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Saudi Aramco Said to Order HQ Evacuation, Oil Prices Set for Weekly Gain

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Saudi Aramco is reported to have instructed employees to leave its Dhahran headquarters and work from home as fighting with the Houthis continues. Saudi Arabia reports intercepting drones and missiles, while oil heads for a weekly gain. Middle Eastern oil flows approach prewar levels, even as Trump raises the prospect of further action against Iran. The kingdom is also seeking overseas storage for Aramco to strengthen its ability to supply customers during disruptions.
The global technology selloff gathers pace as investors retreat from the AI trade. South Korea’s Kospi falls, the valuation gap between Chinese technology companies and their US counterparts widens, and concerns over AI, the Middle East and France draw money toward safer assets. SK Hynix drops plans for a Solidigm IPO after reassessing market conditions and the interests of existing shareholders.
Blackstone President and COO Jonathan Gray describes rapidly accelerating AI demand. Ten Cap founder Jun Bei Liu tells Horizons that the selloff offers more attractive entry prices, but expects a recovery to favor a narrower group of companies. She remains positive on equities while watching for sharper interest-rate increases, inflation pressures and disappointing earnings.
Governments and businesses race to address a widespread cybersecurity weakness. In an earlier exclusive Bloomberg interview, OpenAI’s Greg Brockman discusses AI agents and digital security, including the two months of manual work involved in responding to vulnerabilities in PHP.
Anticipation of Grand Theft Auto VI boosts Sony’s PlayStation 5 sales, according to Circana. The Wall Street Journal reports that Trump asked Elon Musk to remove restrictions on the military-grade Starlink service used by Ukraine. Separately, leaked cancer-vaccine trial data from Moderna and Merck disappoint investors.
Jihad Azour, the IMF’s Middle East and Central Asia Director, joins Horizons to discuss the October 2026 regional outlook and reduced growth projections for the Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan and Pakistan. He says the war’s effects on oil and gas remain manageable globally and regionally, credits Oman’s neutrality with lowering its risk premium, and highlights Iraq’s exposure through its dependence on oil and Hormuz.
Emirates NBD seeks a loan of up to $1 billion from Asian lenders.
Aliko Dangote sets out more than $35 billion of African projects within a wider $50 billion investment programme. The plans include $14.3 billion to expand the Lagos refinery, $16 billion for a refinery in Lamu, $1.5 billion for a Kenyan pipeline and $3.5 billion for a South African pipeline.
Nigeria’s unreliable electricity grid is pushing households to generate their own power. Lower-priced Chinese solar panels are attracting more buyers and driving sales growth, although the upfront expense still prevents many families from making the switch. Guests includes Jun Bei Liu, Ten Cap Founder and Jihad Azour, IMF Middle East & Central Asia Department Director.

Chapters:
00:00:00 – Introduction
00:04:36 – Global Tech Selloff Deepens
00:08:05 – Jun Bei Liu, Ten Cap Founder
00:18:39 – Greg Brockman, OpenAI Foundation Co-Founder & President
00:27:12 – Jihad Azour, IMF Middle East & Central Asia Department Director
00:37:30 – Dangote Maps Out Part of $50B Investment Spree
00:42:08 – Cheap Solar Panels Power Change in Nigeria
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Odd Lots: Music Legend David Byrne on Being Rediscovered

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History is littered with ideas that have been tossed aside, only for them to gain relevance at some later date.

On this episode of the Odd Lots podcast, legendary musician David Byrne joins Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway to discuss “the Minsky Moment” and his own experience of having his music rediscovered by a new generation.
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JPMorgan’s 2027 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions

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David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, and Stephen Parker, co-head of global investment strategy at JPMorgan Private Bank, discuss their latest Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions report, which projects about 7% annual returns for 60/40 portfolios over the next 10–15 years. They speak on “Bloomberg The Close.”
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Romania Says Russia Escalating War

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On the early edition of Balance of Power, Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz discuss the latest news. On today’s show, Echo Canyon Consulting CEO Jon Seaton, Fortius Global Vice President Hannah Muldavin, Romanian President Nicușor Dan and Permitting Council Executive Director Emily Domenech.

Chapters:
00:00:00 Radio Balance of Power: Early Edition
00:02:09 Markets: Tech Selloff & Rising Oil
00:06:08 Trump, Farmers & the Iowa Vote
00:08:07 U.S.-Canada Relations & Election Tensions
00:10:12 Trade, Tariffs & Farmer Relief
00:11:06 Political Panel: Iowa & the Midterms
00:15:08 Trump’s Approval & Republican Strategy
00:18:31 Russia, Ukraine & European Security
00:22:53 Romania’s President on the Russian Threat
00:24:02 Russian Drones, Romania & NATO
00:27:32 Ukraine, Trump & Peace Negotiations
00:33:33 Markets: Tech Earnings & Bond Rally
00:36:35 Energy Prices & Permitting Reform
00:39:09 Can Congress Pass Permitting Reform?
00:42:44 Data Centers, Mining & Critical Minerals
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