US equity futures waver after stocks notched a fresh record high ahead of retail sales and consumer sentiment data. Oil climbs as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the US will announce unprecedented plans for Iran’s “economic isolation” next week. The Trump administration imposes levies of as much as 100% on imported drones and components, further decoupling from drone supply chains with China. OpenAI is said to be on track to generate annualized revenue of more than $40 billion. Stephanie Guild, CIO of Robinhood, looks ahead to more data following the latest signs of cooling inflation.

Chapters:
00:00:00 – Bloomberg Brief Begins, Top Stories & Global Markets
00:01:03 – Global Market Check: Asia Markets: Stocks Rally, Korea Leads Gains
00:02:24 – Europe Markets: Stocks, Dollar & Bond Yields
00:03:42 – US Markets: Record Highs & Treasury Yields
00:05:00 – OpenAI Revenue Surges Ahead of Potential IPO, Chinese AI Models Challenge OpenAI & Anthropic
00:09:10 – Trump Administration Hits Imported Drones With 100% Tariffs
00:10:34 – US Economic Isolation Plan for Iran & China Implications
00:12:34 – 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits 25-Year High
00:13:44 – Retail Sales, Inflation & the Fed Rate Outlook
00:15:02 – Trending on the Terminal
00:16:56 – Global Shipping & Mexico’s Alternative to the Panama Canal
00:20:59 – Front Page News
00:21:38 – Markets Update: Stocks, Bonds, Oil & the Dollar
00:23:11 – First Look Movers: Applied Materials, Drone Makers & Reddit
00:24:43 – Stephanie Guild, Robinhood CIO, on Whether Markets Can Keep Rallying
00:32:53 – Trending on the Terminal
00:35:17 – US to Roll Out Economic Isolation Plan for Iran Next Week, 100% Drone Tariffs & US-China Trade Tensions
00:38:02 – OpenAI’s $40 Billion Revenue Run Rate & IPO Prospects, Investors Get More Selective on AI & Tech
00:42:00 – What to Watch
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Russia’s military spending is on track to hit a record this year after Vladimir Putin added almost $60 billion to the costs set out in the budget. Greg Sullivan explains.
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US stocks and bonds rally while oil falls to a three-month low after the US and Iran agree to an interim deal to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Sam Riggall, CEO of Sunrise Energy Metals discusses rare earths as the G7 summit kicks off. Kelsey Berro of JPMorgan Asset Management looks ahead to the rate decision this week under new Fed chair Kevin Warsh.

Chapters:
00:00:00 – Bloomberg Brief
00:00:49 – Global Market Check
00:11:52 – Trending on the Terminal
00:13:51 – Sam Riggall, Sunrise Energy Metals CEO
00:20:05 – Front Page News
00:27:33 – Kelsey Berro, JPMorgan Asset Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager
00:34:18 – Trending on the Terminal
00:40:07 – What to Watch
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Bloomberg Fed and Economy Reporter Enda Curran explains why inflation still stings despite cooling from pandemic-era highs. Tariffs, energy costs and AI demand are pushing prices up, while relief in a few categories is limited. He also discusses the Fed’s 2% target and the credibility risks of changing it.
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Bloomberg Daybreak Europe is your essential morning viewing to stay ahead. Live from London, we set the agenda for your day, catching you up with overnight markets news from the US and Asia. And we’ll tell you what matters for investors in Europe, giving you insight before trading begins.

US equity-index futures declined along with Asian stocks as enthusiasm for the artificial-intelligence trade cooled after driving markets to record highs this year.

There was no sign of progress in ceasefire talks between the US and Iran after the worst burst of violence in weeks and as the Tehran-backed Hezbollah militia on Thursday rejected a US-brokered truce in Lebanon.

And Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy proposed peace talks to Russian leader Vladimir Putin in a rare and combative open letter, as efforts to end more than four years of war gained momentum.

Chapters:
00:00:00 – Daybreak Europe
00:01:12 – US Futures, Korean Stocks Drop as AI Mania Fades
00:04:20 – Investors Rotate Away from Tech Stocks
00:09:42 – US-Iran Talks Progress Stalls After Hezbollah Rejects Truce
00:15:41 – Private Credit Rebounds After Redemption Selloff
00:18:41 – Broadcom: Less Focused on M&A Amid AI Boom
00:22:23 – Gulf Nations Look to Alternative Oil Export Routes
00:25:58 – Gold Declines on US-Iran Uncertainty
00:29:44 – Zelenskyy Proposes Peace Talks in Letter to Putin
00:30:22 – Western Aid Cuts Hollow Ebola Response
00:39:07 – S&P Denies SpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Fast Index Entry
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