Business
Iran War: Stocks sink to start the week as oil prices rise
Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, discusses elevated geopolitical uncertainty and its impact on the markets.
Wall Street’s worries about an inflation resurgence sent bonds slumping as oil surged amid an escalating war in the Middle East, with traders trimming bets on rate cuts. The dollar and gold climbed. Stocks pared losses.
Also weighing on Treasuries were figures showing manufacturing expanded, with input prices soaring at the fastest pace since 2022. Ten-year yields headed toward their biggest advance since October. The S&P 500 pared most of a slide that earlier topped 1% as energy and defense firms rallied while the software group bounced. Airlines tumbled.
As tanker traffic all but halted through the Strait of Hormuz and a big refinery in Saudi Arabia stopped, West Texas Intermediate crude soared 6.5%. Diesel futures jumped more than fifth at one point. In Europe, liquefied natural gas surged after Qatar halted output.
Uncertainty about oil prices may play a big role in determining broader market sentiment, according to Chris Larkin at E*Trade from Morgan Stanley.
“There are more questions than answers right now, but a stabilizing energy picture could have a positive ripple effect, while concerns about a longer-term disruption could have the opposite,” he said.
US-Israeli strikes on Iran quickly escalated into a broader conflict, extending a flight away from riskier assets. President Donald Trump said the attacks could last for weeks and called on the nation’s leaders to capitulate, while the Islamic Republic’s security chief ruled out negotiations.
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Private credit isn’t collapsing, it’s cooling off. That’s according to Richard Farley, Partner at Herbert Smith Freehills Kramer. Farley joined Bloomberg Open Interest to explain why today’s turbulence is a normal cycle after years of hype, how overinvestment is resetting the market, and why AI could become the next real stress test for lenders.
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For over a decade, China has quietly built effectively a monopoly on the critical minerals that power everything from smartphones to fighter jets and the US is now racing to catch up. David Westin speaks with a New Hampshire startup called Phoenix Tailings, where CEO Nick Myers is trying to break China’s chokehold on the supply chain. He also talks with author David Abraham, CFR’s Heidi Crebo-Rediker, and former US Ambassador to China Nicholas Burns about how the US fell so far behind, and whether innovation can help it leapfrog back into the game.
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Business
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