Business
Oil Supply Risks Rise as Hormuz Talks Stall | Horizons Middle East & Africa 8/13/2026
Global markets gain as softer US inflation reduces expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike, while investors continue watching the standoff between the US and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz. Talks appear deadlocked, although Pakistan says Washington and Tehran may be moving toward a possible agreement. Hormuz traffic remains below prewar levels, Iran says users must address environmental damage, and President Trump insists the US has “total control” of the strategic waterway.
Asian stocks advance on technology gains and easing rate-hike bets, with South Korea leading the region’s tech rally. Tencent shares fall as investors assess rising AI costs despite hopes that WorkBuddy could drive an AI turnaround. Cisco’s strong results also fail to impress investors, while Cerebras shares tumble after a weaker growth outlook. Anthropic is reportedly in talks to acquire startup company Decart for $6 billion.
In energy markets, oil prices edge lower after a six-day rally, while the IEA warns of a potential supply squeeze as disruptions worsen. The UAE is using shuttle services to move Iraqi oil exports through Hormuz, while China’s changing demand is helping cushion the broader oil market.
In geopolitics, Palestinian officials call for changes to Israel’s policies rather than simply a change in leadership. Japan’s government is reportedly backing faster BOJ rate hikes, while the yen trades near ¥160 per US dollar amid renewed intervention concerns.
Nigeria is expanding tax incentives to attract $50 billion in deepwater oil investment, while extreme weather disrupts Rhine shipping as record-low water levels threaten Europe’s key commercial waterway and Germany’s economy. Guests includes Varsen Shahin, Palestinian Authority Foreign Minister, Mahjabeen Zaman, ANZ FX Research Head and June Goh, Senior Oil Market Analyst, Sparta Commodities.
Horizons Middle East & Africa is your daily spotlight on one of the world’s fastest-growing regions. Live from Dubai, we bring you the latest global markets and analysis, plus news-making interviews, with a special focus on MEA. All that and more, as you head to the office in the Gulf, pause for lunch in Hong Kong, or start your day in London or Johannesburg.
Chapters:
00:00:00 – Introduction
00:04:40 – Subdued US Inflation Eases Pressure on Fed
00:08:43 – Talks Between the US and Iran Appear Deadlocked
00:13:01 – Varsen Shahin, Palestinian Authority Foreign Minister
00:16:01 – Mahjabeen Zaman, ANZ FX Research Head
00:28:22 – IEA Doubles Oil Deficit Forecast as Supply Disruptions Worsen
00:31:22 – June Goh, Senior Oil Market Analyst, Sparta Commodities
00:38:22 – Nigeria Boosts Tax Breaks to Lure $50B in Deepwater Oil
00:42:26 – Rhine Shipping Stalls as Water Levels Hit Record Lows
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Business
Stocks Waver Ahead of PCE, Micron; Mideast Oil Flows Rebound; Trump Backs Outside AI Audits
US equity futures waver ahead of PCE inflation data and Micron earnings. Oil flows from the Middle East are returning toward pre-war levels despite continued risks to shipping, according to JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs. President Trump endorses independent audits of AI systems through an accord with tech executives. Mads Pedersen of Human Edge Investment Technology joins “Bloomberg Brief” to discuss bond market risks ahead of key economic data.
Chapters:
00:00:00 – Bloomberg Brief Begins: Markets Ahead of PCE Data
00:04:04 – PCE Inflation & Fed Rate Hike Outlook
00:06:58 – Middle East Oil Flows & Strait of Hormuz Risks, Iran-US Diplomacy Remains at an Impasse
00:10:18 – Trending on the Terminal
00:11:45 – Front Page News
00:12:29 – Andy Burnham, Brexit & the UK’s Future With Europe
00:14:45 – Burnham’s Sweeping Policy Proposals
00:21:32 – Markets Brace for PCE & Spending Data
00:23:11 – Mads Pedersen, CIO of Human Edge Investment Technology, on Bond Market Risks & Fed Rate Outlook, Signals That Could Trigger a Market Shift
00:31:56 – Trending on the Terminal
00:33:22 – Trump, Tech Leaders & AI Safety Guardrails
00:35:44 – South Korea’s $200 Billion US Investment Plan, Corporate PACs & Midterm Campaign Advertising
00:38:20 – Micron Earnings & AI Demand Outlook, OpenAI Developer Day & Structural AI Demand
00:42:17 – What to Watch
——–
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Anthropic PBC Chief Executive Officer Dario Amodei, Nvidia Corp. CEO Jensen Huang, Meta Platforms Inc. CEO Mark Zuckerberg and Elon Musk talk about working together to make sure AI is safe after meeting with President Donald Trump at the White House.
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Pershing Square founder and CEO Bill Ackman discusses his plans for Howard Hughes, the state of the IPO market and his views on AI and Anthropic. Speaking with Dani Burger on “Bloomberg Deals,” Ackman also comments on his daughter’s illness, which inspired him to invest in a new medical institute.
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Alphabet’s Google has begun rolling out Gemini 4 Argon, its long-awaited flagship artificial intelligence model, but even some insiders say it has underperformed in some areas. Bloomberg’s Carmen Reinicke reports.
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US equity futures and Treasuries struggle for direction ahead of labor market data and a slew of Fedspeak that may offer clues on the rate outlook. Nvidia, Anthropic and Palantir CEOs are slated to attend a lunch with President Trump to discuss AI risks. The US enacts import ban on some Canadian goods. Colin Purdie of Manulife joins “Bloomberg Brief” to discuss market opportunities amid rising yields.
Chapters:
00:00:00 – Bloomberg Brief Begins: Top Stories
00:00:52 – Global Markets Check: Global Markets & Rising Treasury Yields
00:04:03 – First Look Movers: Navitas, Jefferies & Julius Baer
00:05:27 – AI Safety, OpenAI & Trump’s Tech Meeting, AMD’s World Labs Deal & AI Expansion
00:08:48 – US-Canada Trade Tensions Escalate
00:11:14 – Trending on the Terminal
00:12:42 – Goldman Sachs Succession & John Waldron, How AI Could Transform Goldman Sachs
00:17:47 – Front Page News
00:18:41 – China Signals Fresh Economic Stimulus, China’s Housing Market & Consumer Support
00:21:34 – Markets Update: Oil, Yields & Equities
00:23:09 – First Look Movers: AstraZeneca, FICO & Julius Baer
00:24:40 – Colin Purdie, Manulife CIO of Public Markets, on Yields, Equities & the AI Trade China Stimulus & Global Investment Opportunities
00:32:39 – Trending on the Terminal
00:33:56 – AI Leaders Meet Trump as Safety Concerns Grow, AMD’s $8.2 Billion World Labs Acquisition
00:38:10 – US-Canada Trade Ban & Steel Tariffs, US-India Trade Talks Continue
00:42:09 – What to Watch
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