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Hormuz Oil Flows Recover as Supply Fears Ease | Horizons Middle East & Africa 8/28/2026
Oil markets focus on the recovery of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz as flows begin to improve and concerns over supply disruptions ease. Goldman Sachs estimates Gulf oil exports remain below pre-war levels, while total flows recover toward 15 to 16 million barrels a day. The US says sea mines have been cleared from Hormuz.
Qatar and Iran discuss the possibility of restarting talks with the US, while Trump rejects returning to the June Iran deal. Rising Hormuz flows are helping reduce fears of a prolonged oil supply squeeze.
Venezuela considers leaving OPEC after nearly six decades of membership as the US weighs opportunities in the country’s oil sector. An exit could have wider implications for OPEC and the global politics of oil.
Markets turn to Jackson Hole, where Fed Chair Warsh is set to deliver his first major speech at the gathering. Fed officials remain divided over the path for interest rates, with Goolsbee calling for evidence that inflation is persistent and Schmid saying higher rates could be appropriate. Investors also assess whether the US midterm elections could influence Fed policy.
Gold has gained sharply this month as investors reassess the rate outlook, while demand for additional gold stockpiles grows in Singapore and Hong Kong. Japan’s two-year bond auction sees its weakest demand measure since 2016, adding to concerns in Asian fixed-income markets.
US-Canada trade tensions remain in focus, with Greer suggesting the US may need to consider restrictions on Canadian goods. Trump also criticizes Canada over trade relations and changes the name of a major lake.
In sports, LIV Golf faces questions over its future as the Saudi-backed circuit confronts funding challenges and uncertainty over its place in professional golf.
Nepal’s flood disaster worsens, with the death toll reaching 469 and more than 1,200 people still missing. Reconstruction could cost billions of dollars as the country assesses the damage.
In Zambia, police build a treason case against an opposition leader arrested shortly after the August 13 election, while inflation falls to an eight-year low. Guests includes Selina Ling, OCBC Chief Economist and Guy Wolf, Marex Global Head of Market Analytics.
Horizons Middle East & Africa is your daily spotlight on one of the world’s fastest-growing regions. Live from Dubai, we bring you the latest global markets and analysis, plus news-making interviews, with a special focus on MEA. All that and more, as you head to the office in the Gulf, pause for lunch in Hong Kong, or start your day in London or Johannesburg.
Chapters:
00:00:00 – Introduction
00:06:10 – Gulf Oil Exports at Two-Thirds of Pre-War Levels
00:13:26 – Warsh to Make First Jackson Hole Speech as Fed Chair
00:15:15 – Selina Ling, OCBC Chief Economist
00:20:37 – LIV Golf’s Uncertain Future
00:27:24 – Guy Wolf, Marex Global Head of Market Analytics
00:31:33 – Jeffrey Schmid, Kansas City Fed President
00:37:14 – Swarnim Wagle, Nepal Finance Minister
00:38:44 – Binod Chaudhary, Chaudhary Group Chairman & President
00:42:30 – Election Dispute in Zambia
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The US and Iran exchanged strikes for the first time in about a month as American forces hit an island in the Strait of Hormuz and the Islamic Republic responded by launching attacks on the United Arab Emirates and Jordan.
US Treasury yields ticked lower and stock futures were mixed as traders assessed the outlook for interest rates following Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh’s hawkish inflation comments at Jackson Hole.
John Ternus steps into his new role as Apple chief executive officer this week. Ternus won’t have much time before the company begins its annual fall product rollouts. This year the lineup will include an unusually ambitious slate of devices he’s been teasing for months internally.
Today’s guests: Bjoern Griesbach, Allianz Investment Management Head of Macroeconomic and Capital Market Research; James Kisner, Water Tower Research Technology Research Analyst.
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“The Pulse With Francine Lacqua” is all about conversations with high profile guests in the beating heart of global business, economics, finance and politics. Based in London, we go wherever the story is, bringing you exclusive interviews and market-moving scoops.
Chapters:
00:00:00 – The Pulse
00:00:23 – Stocks, gold drop on Fed rate-hike bets
00:01:13 – Bjoern Griesbach, Allianz Investment Management Head of Macroeconomic and Capital Market Research
00:09:17 – Oil gains as US hits Hormuz targets
00:11:14 – Trump’s Iran war exposes new challenge for Xi-Putin security bloc
00:14:04 – Germany’s Saxony-Anhalt holds elections Sept. 6
00:18:47 – Iceland votes to reject the European Union
00:21:41 – Monday top stories
00:23:02 – Monday headlines
00:23:25 – Apple’s Ternus takes CEO reins with AI first priority
00:26:22 – James Kisner, Water Tower Research Technology Research Analyst
00:33:58 – Lawmakers focus on compromise in UBS capital debate
00:36:08 – Shein falls in Hong Kong gray market
00:40:44 – BOE’s Bailey plays down inflation risk ahead of decision
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The Japanese yen is so weak that even the US has stepped in to prop up the currency.
The joint US-Japan action, the first in 15 years, underscores their unprecedented determination to defend the Asian currency. Mia Glass explains why.
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Warsh reiterated that policymakers have a “firm, fixed target” of 2% inflation at the 2026 Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium. Bloomberg’s Maria Eloisa Capurro explains.
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Bloomberg Television brings you the latest news and analysis leading up to the final minutes and seconds before and after the closing bell on Wall Street. Today’s guests are Columbia Business School Professor Abby Joseph Cohen, Loop Capital Markets Consumer Sector Head, Senior Research Analyst Anthony Chukumba, The Conference Board CEO Steve Odland, Man Group Chief Market Strategist Kristina Hooper, Willow Wealth CEO Mitchell Caplan, McGraw Hill CEO Philip Moyer, Unifor National President Lana Payne, & Wedbush Securities Managing Director, Equity Research Matt Bryson.
Chapters:
00:00:00 Bloomberg The Close
00:02:51 Abby Joseph Cohen on Markets, Consumers & the Economy
00:07:24 AI Spending, Productivity & the Sustainability Question
00:11:42 Jackson Hole Preview & Kevin Warsh’s Fed Strategy
00:15:27 Nvidia, OpenAI & the AI Trade Ahead of Earnings
00:17:23 Top Calls
00:18:15 Dick’s Sporting Goods Plunges on Foot Locker Troubles
00:22:38 Consumer Confidence Falls as Inflation Anxiety Builds
00:25:13 Consumer Debt, Spending & the Risk to Economic Growth
00:27:48 CEO vs. Consumer Confidence & the Holiday Retail Outlook
00:30:29 Stock of the Hour: Super Micro Jumps on Cisco Partnership
00:32:09 Cisco, Super Micro & the AI Infrastructure Buildout
00:37:37 Man Group on Treasury Intervention, Yields & Fed Policy
00:41:01 AI Debt, Inflation & the Jackson Hole Outlook
00:43:27 Closing Bell
00:45:47 Intuit Earnings & the SaaS Selloff
00:47:29 Market Movers: Moderna, Nvidia & Resolve AI
00:49:08 Dick’s Worst Day Ever Raises Questions About Foot Locker
00:50:50 Zoom & Box Earnings Hit After the Bell
00:52:44 AI and the “SaaS-pocalypse” Debate
00:54:31 Market Recap: Nvidia Rebounds as Oil & Yields Fall
00:55:39 Mitch Caplan on Retail Investors & Private Markets
00:57:22 Private Credit, Higher Yields & the New 60/40 Portfolio
01:00:01 Why Companies Are Staying Private Longer
01:01:24 Private Market Liquidity & Access for Retail Investors
01:02:47 Private Assets in 401(k)s & Vanguard’s Zero-Allocation Call
01:05:54 After-Hours Movers: Intuit, Zoom & Box
01:08:12 McGraw Hill CEO on AI, Education & the Future of Learning
01:10:15 How Teachers and Students Should Use AI
01:12:06 McGraw Hill’s Agentic AI Strategy
01:13:28 Screen-Time Backlash & the Return of Print
01:16:29 U.S.-Canada Trade War Escalates
01:17:35 Unifor President on Auto Tariffs & North American Manufacturing
01:20:18 Canada’s Response to the U.S. Trade War
01:24:20 Nvidia Earnings Preview: Can AI Growth Keep Delivering?
01:25:49 Nvidia’s Next Growth Engine & Rising Chip Competition
01:28:23 What to Watch
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