Business
Jobs Report Is Good News for Economy: El-Erian
Allianz Chief Economic Adviser and Bloomberg Opinion columnist Mohamed El-Erian says the November US jobs report is good news for the economy and the market has to think very carefully about the amount of interest rate cuts it’s pricing in for next year. He’s on “Bloomberg The Open” with Rick Rieder, BlackRock CIO of global fixed income.
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Chapter:
00:00 Fed Decision, Strong Consumer and 5% Treasury Yields
06:30 The Fed Can’t Print Oil — George Goncalves, MUFG
18:43 $5,000 Checks Face a Congressional Roadblock — Brian Gardner, Stifel
30:38 Markets Underestimate Fed Easing in 2027 — Arend Kapteyn, UBS
41:08 Fed Hike May Trigger a Bull Steepening — Steven Major, Tradition Dubai
52:43 BNY Holds 8,000 S&P Target Despite Rate Hikes — Alicia Levine, BNY Wealth
1:06:02 Pouring More Money Into Today’s AI Is a Mistake — Stuart Russell, UC Berkeley
1:18:25 AI Buildout Needs Every Source of Capital — Jim Zelter, Apollo Global Management
1:30:58 Higher Interest Rates Are Here for a While — Jim Zelter, Apollo Global Management
1:41:54 The AI Train Has Already Left the Station — Gina Martin Adams, HB Wealth Management
1:52:57 Mortgage Buydowns Can Leave Buyers Underwater — Stephen Kim, Evercore ISI
2:01:02 Strong Retail Sales Give Fed More Room to Hike — Michael McKee
2:06:24 Fed May Need to Engineer Demand Destruction — Thomas Hoenig, Former Kansas City Fed President
2:19:43 Fed Could Hike Three Times Before Spring — Gennadiy Goldberg, TD Securities
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Europe’s oil refiners are paying high premiums for cargoes as the shutdown of Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline forces the region’s buyers to scramble for alternatives with fuel prices soaring. We take a deep dive with Rob Barnett, Senior Energy Analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence. Eric Martin, Bloomberg News State Department Reporter, joins to discuss his Big Take reporting on how Secretary of State Marco Rubio has adapted his foreign policy approach under President Donald Trump. Plus, debate is heating up amongst NFL players and owners – grass versus turf. Nick Pappas, the NFL’s Director of Field Operations, and Randall Williams, Bloomberg Business of Sports Reporter, weigh in on the state of playing surfaces.
Chapters
00:00:00 Bloomberg Businessweek Daily
00:03:05 Markets: Stocks Slip as Yields Rise
00:05:05 Oil, Gas Prices & the Midterms
00:06:20 Saudi Oil Supply & Pipeline Disruptions
00:08:01 Iran Conflict & the Global Oil Market
00:09:11 Why Diesel Prices Are So High
00:11:07 Fed Rate Hikes, Inflation & the Economy
00:13:22 Labor Market & Consumer Spending
00:15:29 Earnings, AI & Market Volatility
00:18:29 Marco Rubio’s Role in Trump’s Foreign Policy
00:21:19 How Rubio Evolved From Trump Rival to Adviser
00:23:53 Rubio, China & U.S. Foreign Policy
00:26:31 Venezuela, Energy Security & Rubio’s Influence
00:29:21 Rubio & the 2028 Presidential Conversation
00:32:21 NFL Debate: Grass vs. Artificial Turf
00:36:00 Inside the NFL’s Playing Field Operations
00:38:17 Injury Rates on Grass vs. Turf
00:40:27 How the World Cup Changed NFL Stadium Fields
00:43:24 Stock Movers: Coinbase, Netflix & Nucor
00:47:21 AI Safety Concerns & the Chip Market
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Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang comments on the sidelines of an event hosted by King Charles III in Scotland about concerns surrounding the mounting risks of artificial intelligence. “You have rigorous testing systems, the testing lab should be contained, and products should not be released to the public until it’s ready to be used by the public,” Huang says.
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Greg Allen, Founder and CEO of Decision Tree Research, says AI has already had “extremely concerning incidents” and model releases should not be “exceeding our pace of safety technologies.” Allen discusses concerns about AI models leaving tools for themselves across the internet and the challenge posed by open-source models as their capabilities increase. He speaks with Kailey Leinz and Joe Mathieu on Bloomberg’s “Balance of Power.”
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Francisco Blanch, commodities and derivatives research head at BofA Securities, says Brent oil prices could climb as high as $150 a barrel if critical infrastructure, like Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline, “is hit on a more permanent basis.” Blanch speaks on Bloomberg Television.
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@joealonzo536
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
🙉The key to knowing the state of the economy. Question: Can I afford in the Biden administration what I could afford in the last administration? And the answer is: NO, you cannot. If you are living your life on credit, you do not even own your life.
@ClassicFIHD
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
National average for gas (gasbuddy) on the day Bungling Biden took office was $2.25.
@ClassicFIHD
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
Writers Guild of America strike ended in October, they went back to work.
@jaemoon3593
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
El-Erian was advocating for 3% inflation target. Or being critical of Fed. Meanwhile complaining that Fed didn't have a strategy.
@miken7629
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
No one deserves any credit for jobs numbers, this is a once in a lifetime fluke where Boomers, which make up 20% of the population, are retiring en masse creating job openings and job advancements all through the workforce as positions are filled. Boomer generation is creating a once in a lifetime opportunity for anyone that wants a job. Boomers, while only 20% of population (76 million people) own over 50% of the assets in USA, this is the way it should be because we have worked a lifetime and have more assets at the end of our careers than at the beginning. As Boomers start dying off en masse in 10-15 years, that 50% of assets will be passed on to our heirs, collectively trillions of dollars, so expect an economic boom in 2030's as Boomers inheritance gets distributed and spent/invested.
@williamwallace6508
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
hes been wrong for years
@briantep458
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
keep rates where they are, im good with single digit S&P returns
@Infinite_P
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
I am sure this jobs report was cooked to perfection and there will very no crazy revisions. We have amazing chefs.
@drscopeify4582
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
Its so funny how the market forces are like a horde they run in any given direction blindly. Things start to weaken a bit so they all rush to one side, then new data shows otherwise and the all rush to the other side…. Its just very entertaining to watch
@Ebanaitamognaichozaderimonarin
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
Когда вы все друг друга истребите ,а зачем вы все страны оружие производите ,без плена и капитуляций?!?!?
@erichvonmolder9310
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
Mr. El-Erian is positive? Stop the presses!
@aishaalamoudi599
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
soft landing.
@2023gainer
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
The AI sector hiring due to stronger global demand. * SOUN.. 20 % Increase month.. SoundHound. Now 220 Institutional Investors. EBITDA Up 57 % in 3rd qt. New Acquisition plans announced of SYNQ3 Restaurant Solutions adding 100,000 restaurant locations for Voice AI tech…* BBAI.. Big Bear AI….* NVDA.. Nvidia….* PLTR… Palantir.. AI Sector Winning in 2024.?
@georgemaximus694
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
Jobs report is good for the economy as long as it’s funded by government debt and household debt. The house of cards crumbles if these debt don’t get repaid. So just keep piling on these debt and we’re going to be just fine.
@ssuwandi3240
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
Exceptional Government Debts indeed
@paulrobbo321
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
Rick "U turn" Rieder
@peterdangelo5882
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
Cuts ? Let see this growth for 5 or six months. No reason to stimulate this economy
@user-nc9pc3gr4c
December 12, 2023 at 7:38 pm
rate hikes haven't kicked in yet