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Trump Sparks Peso Gains, French Bond Risk Hits Highest Since Euro Crisis | The Opening Trade 11/28

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The peso advanced after President-elect Donald Trump said he had a productive conversation with Mexico’s president Claudia Sheinbaum, paring some of the losses seen earlier in the week. A later post from her suggested differences remain in how to approach key issues like migration. French bond risk rises to 2012 levels due to political standoff over the country’s budget as Prime Minister Michel Barnier’s ability to pass a budget and enact spending cuts remains in doubt. The potential fall of the government could drive bond risk higher, with some strategists predicting a spread of 100 basis points or more. The Opening Trade has everything you need to know as markets open across Europe. With analysis you won’t find anywhere else, we break down the biggest stories of the day and speak to top guests who have skin in the game. Hosted by Anna Edwards, Guy Johnson and Kriti Gupta.

Chapters:
00:00:00 – Intro
00:01:44 – US Preps More China Chip Curbs, US Antitrust Probes Microsoft, French Stocks Underperform
00:08:23 – Opec Delays Meeting
00:12:46 – French Banks Sag with Political turmoil, Klaus Baader, Société Générale
00:24:04 – Israel-Hezbollah Truce in Effect, Amin Salam, Lebanese Economy Minister
00:34:47 – French 10- Year Borrowing Costs Match Greece for First Time
00:36:25 – French Finance Minister Armand: Better to have Modified Budget than No Budget
00:40:36 – Le Pen to Decide on Toppling French Government, Market 3 Minutes
00:46:07 – Stocks to Watch: Direct Line, Remy Cointreau, Royal Mail, Bénédicte Lowe, BNP Paribas
01:01:48 – US Preps More China Chip Curbs, US Antitrust Probes Microsoft
01:12:09 – Remy Cointreau Forecast Bigger Sales Drop, Trump Tariffs weigh on Drinks companies
01:16:03 – Swetha Ramachabdran, Artemis Fund Manager on Drinks sector Pressure
01:24:46 – Opec Delays Output Meeting, Nordic Nations Get War-Ready
01:34:23 – Retailers Prep for Black Friday Sales
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Chipotle CEO on Restaurant’s Expansion Into Mexico

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Chipotle Mexican Grill, under the leadership of CEO Scott Boatwright, is set to open its first restaurant in Mexico later this week, marking a significant milestone in the company’s international growth. The initial location will be in Monterrey, with plans to expand to Mexico City by 2027. Boatwright emphasized the importance of Mexico to Chipotle’s global strategy, highlighting the brand’s respect for Mexican culinary heritage and its focus on fresh, same-day prepared ingredients. He speaks with Romaine Bostick & Katie Greifeld on “The Close.”
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TSMC Beats Estimates Amid Sustained AI Demand

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TSMC posted quarterly profit that beat estimates. The main chipmaker for Nvidia Corp. and Apple Inc. reported a rise in net income for the June quarter to NT$706.6 billion ($22 billion), surpassing the average estimate of NT$623.7 billion. The steady growth highlights the company’s central role in producing the vast majority of the world’s most advanced chips for data centers and smartphones. Bloomberg’s Stephen Engle reports.
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Why SpaceX’s Governance Has Driven Away Some Pension Funds

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SpaceX’s record-setting IPO gave public investors access to one of the world’s most valuable companies, but not equal voting rights. CEO Elon Musk holds just over 40% of the company’s equity while controlling more than 80% of the vote. IPO adviser Lise Buyer says dual-class shares can protect founders from short-term market pressure, but Harvard Law School’s Lucian Bebchuk warns that SpaceX’s structure goes much further, raising risks around accountability, succession, conflicts of interest, and shareholder value. Some investors, including Danish pension fund AkademikerPension, have already rejected the stock over what they call “catastrophic governance,” turning SpaceX into a test case for how much control public markets are willing to give superstar founders.
——–
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Where to Invest 10 Lakh Rupees Amid a Fragile Recovery

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Indian markets are showing signs of recovery, but volatile oil prices, a delayed monsoon, and uneven stock valuations could eat into those gains.

Against the fragile calm, four financial experts point to investment opportunities.

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Bloomberg Surveillance 7/14/2026

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Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern speak daily with leaders and decision makers from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. No other program better positions investors and executives for the trading day.

Chapters:
00:00 Bank Earnings, CPI & Fed Outlook — Bloomberg Surveillance
04:37 Bank Earnings, Wall Street & Capital Markets — Christopher Verrone, Strategas
19:03 Strait of Hormuz Blockade, Oil Prices & Iran — Victoria Coates
30:36 JPMorgan Earnings, Bank Outlook & Year Ahead — Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets
40:51 Who Is Winning Bank Earnings? Bank of America & Wall Street — Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets
54:33 Buy the Dip, AI CapEx & Market Outlook — Venu Krishna, Barclays
01:07:57 Trump’s Hormuz Strategy, NATO & Middle East Risks — Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners
01:17:27 Goldman Sachs Earnings, Regional Banks & Credit — Chris Marinac, Brean Capital
01:29:37 Fed Rate Hikes, Inflation & Monetary Policy — Bill Dudley, Former New York Fed President
01:41:49 Fed Hikes Unlikely, Inflation & July Meeting — Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley
01:57:10 Q2 Tailwinds, JPMorgan & Bank Outlook — Chris Marinac, Brean Capital
02:01:07 CPI Falls for First Time Since 2020, Warsh Stresses Price Stability — Michael McKee, Bloomberg
02:09:06 CPI, Supply Shocks & Fed Patience — Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO
02:19:24 Consumer Economy, Fed Policy & Interest Rates — David Kelly, J.P. Morgan Asset Management
——–
Watch it live every week day from 6-9 ET on Bloomberg Television, YouTube, Roku, Apple TV, Samsung TV, Android TV, Rakuten TV.

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