Contours of the US-Iran peace deal are emerging ahead of its expected signing on Friday, with a 14-point MOU outlining economic incentives for Tehran to end the war. Iran would be able to sell oil immediately, tap a $300 billion development fund and eventually unlock frozen assets, though the timeline remains unclear. Also on the show: Bonds rally ahead of Fed decision; oil headed for its longest losing streak in 10 months; Sudan ditches Iran weapons, courting US support for ending war; US eyes deeper energy ties with Namibia; G7 leaders agree to strengthen Russia oil, gas sanctions. Guests include: Amar Bashir, Wealthbrix Capital Partners Head of Fixed Income; John Giordano, US Ambassador to Namibia; Mark Regev, Former Israeli Ambassador to the UK & Former Senior Adviser to Benjamin Netanyahu.

Correct: video edited to remove incorrect graphic at 20:51.

Horizons Middle East & Africa is your daily spotlight on one of the world’s fastest-growing regions. Live from Dubai, we bring you the latest global markets and analysis, plus news-making interviews, with a special focus on MEA. All that and more, as you head to the office in the Gulf, pause for lunch in Hong Kong, or start your day in London or Johannesburg.

Chapters:
00:00:00 – Introduction
00:04:57 – US poised to offer Iran broad financial gains in peace deal
00:09:34 – Amar Bashir, Wealthbrix Capital Partners
00:15:53 – Oil extends slide
00:20:04 – Sudan ditches Iran weapons
00:27:09 – John Giordano, US Ambassador to Namibia
00:34:35 – Mark Regev, Former Israeli Ambassador to the UK
00:41:28 – G7 leaders agree to strengthen Russia oil, gas sanctions
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President Donald Trump signed an interim deal to end the war with Iran and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, but some Republicans say the US is giving up too much. Laura Davison reports on how the deal came together and what comes next.
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Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham won a decisive victory for the Labour Party in a by-election in the constituency of Makerfield with 54.8% of the vote, defeating Robert Kenyon from right-wing Reform UK, who secured 34.5%. Burnham’s win forges a pathway to challenge UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer for his job. Bloomberg’s Ruth David reports.
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Dan Ives, global senior equity analyst at Wedbush Securities, discusses what he calls the “tug of war” between Anthropic and the Trump administration, why he expects accelerated M&A on artificial intelligence, and reported losses at OpenAI ahead of the company’s IPO later this year.
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Bloomberg Daybreak Europe is your essential morning viewing to stay ahead. Live from London, we set the agenda for your day, catching you up with overnight markets news from the US and Asia. And we’ll tell you what matters for investors in Europe, giving you insight before trading begins.

President Donald Trump signed an interim deal to end the war with Iran and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, speeding up the timeline for the agreement to go into effect despite blowback from Republicans who said it amounted to a victory for Tehran.

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh vowed to restore price stability following his first policy meeting since taking the helm of the US central bank, after officials left interest rates unchanged and signaled growing support for rate hikes this year.

And French President Emmanuel Macron led talks with Group of Seven leaders and tech executives to explore how to deploy the most advanced artificial intelligence models through so-called trusted partners, after the US blocked foreign nationals from accessing the technology.

Today’s guests: Jackie Bowie, Head of EMEA, Chatham Financial; Chloé Poisbeau, COO, Alice & Bob

Chapters:
00:00:00 – Daybreak Europe
00:02:50 – US-Iran Deal Takes Effect as Focus Turns to Strait of Hormuz
00:08:31 – Trump Blows Through His Iran Red Lines in Justifying Peace Deal
00:11:21 – Nine Fed Officials See Rate Hike This Year
00:14:23 – Macron Calls US Approach ‘Strictly Nationalist’
00:16:42 – Badenoch: Creating Conditions to Drive Growth
00:19:52 – Badenoch: Let’s Get Britain Drilling
00:25:17 – Asian Stocks Rise as US-Iran Deal Takes Effect
00:28:00 – BOE Set to Hold Rates With Energy Shock Receding
00:31:02 – Jackie Bowie, Head of EMEA, Chatham Financial
00:35:14 – Chloé Poisbeau, COO, Alice & Bob
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